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【中文为自动翻译,仅供参考,以英文原文为准】
国际能源署、国际货币基金组织和世界银行集团的负责人已同意成立一个协调小组,以最大化各自机构对中东战争能源和经济影响的应对能力。他们发表了以下联合声明:
中东战争给该地区的生活和生计带来了重大干扰,并引发了全球能源市场历史上最大规模的供应短缺之一。其影响巨大、全球性且高度不对称,尤其对能源进口国,尤其是低收入国家的影响尤为显著。它已经通过油气和化肥价格上涨传播,也引发了对食品价格的担忧。全球供应链——包括氦气、磷酸盐、铝及其他商品——受到影响,旅游业也因海湾关键枢纽航班中断而受影响。由此产生的市场波动、新兴经济体货币贬值以及对通胀预期的担忧,都增加了货币政策趋于紧缩和增长放缓的前景。
在这些高度不确定的时期,我们的机构必须携手监测事态发展,协调分析,并协调支持政策制定者应对这场危机。这对于那些最容易受到战争后续影响、面临政策空间更狭窄、债务水平较高的国家来说尤为明显。为确保响应协调一致,我们已共同同意组建一个小组,将:
通过协调数据共享,评估各国和地区间影响的严重程度,涵盖能源市场和价格、贸易流动、财政和国际收支压力、通胀趋势、关键商品出口限制以及供应链中断。
协调应对机制,可能包括:有针对性的政策建议、潜在融资需求评估及相关财政支持(包括通过优惠融资),以及适当使用风险缓解工具。
动员相关利益相关方,包括其他多边、区域和双边伙伴,为有需要的国家提供协调高效的支持。
该小组将根据需要与其他国际组织合作,并借鉴其专业知识。
我们致力于携手维护全球经济和金融稳定,加强能源安全,支持受影响国家和人民通过改革实现持续复苏、增长和就业创造。
关于国际能源署
国际能源署,全球能源权威机构成立于1974年,旨在帮助其成员国协调对重大石油供应中断的集体响应。其使命自此不断扩展和演变,现基于三大支柱:确保全球能源安全;扩大全球能源合作与对话;以及支持一个安全、可负担且可持续的能源未来。欲了解更多信息,请访问 https://www.iea.org/。
关于国际货币基金
组织国际货币基金组织是一个全球性组织,致力于支持其191个成员国的经济增长和繁荣。它通过支持促进金融稳定和货币合作的经济政策来实现这一目标,这些政策对于提高生产力、创造就业和经济福祉至关重要。IMF由其成员国治理并对其负责。欲了解更多信息,请访问 https://www.imf.org
关于世界银行集团
世界银行集团致力于通过融资、知识和专业知识的结合,创造一个无贫困、宜居地球的世界。该组织由世界银行组成,包括国际复兴开发银行(IBRD)和国际开发协会(IDA);国际金融公司(IFC);多边投资担保机构(MIGA);以及国际投资争端解决中心(ICSID)。欲了解更多信息,请访问 www.worldbank.org、ida.worldbank.org/en/home、www.miga.org、www.ifc.org 和 www.icsid.worldbank.org。
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伊朗外长称将报复以色列对伊朗基础设施的攻击;此前伊朗提出结束战争的五个条件,其中包括停止暗杀和保障伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制权
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IMF:中东的战争如何影响能源、贸易与金融
世行声明 | 世界银行集团关于中东冲突的声明
The Heads of the International Energy Agency, International Monetary Fund, and World Bank Group have agreed to form a coordination group to maximize their institutions’ response to the energy and economic impacts of the war in the Middle East. They issued the following joint statement:
The Middle East war has caused major disruptions to lives and livelihoods in the region and triggered one of the largest supply shortages in global energy market history. The impact is substantial, global, and highly asymmetric, disproportionately affecting energy importers, in particular low-income countries. It is already transmitted through higher oil, gas and fertilizers prices, and is triggering concerns about food prices as well. Global supply chains—including of helium, phosphate, aluminum, and other commodities—are affected, as is tourism due to flight disruptions at key Gulf hubs. The resulting market volatility, weakening of currencies in emerging economies, and concerns about inflation expectations raise the prospect of tighter monetary stances and weaker growth.
At these times of high uncertainty, it is paramount that our institutions join forces to monitor developments, align analysis, and coordinate support to policymakers to navigate this crisis. This is especially the case for countries that are most exposed to the downstream impacts from the war and those confronting more limited policy space and higher levels of debt. To ensure a coordinated response, we have jointly agreed to form a group that will:
Assess the severity of impacts across countries and regions through coordinated data sharing on energy markets and prices, trade flows, fiscal and balance of payments pressures, inflation trends, export restrictions of key commodities, and supply chain disruptions.
Coordinate a response mechanism that may include: targeted policy advice, assessment of potential financing needs and related provision of financial support (including through concessional financing), and use of risk mitigation tools as appropriate.
Mobilize relevant stakeholders, including other multilateral, regional, and bilateral partners, to deliver a coordinated and efficient support to countries in need.
The group will work with, and draw on, other international organizations’ expertise as needed.
We are committed to working together to safeguard global economic and financial stability, strengthen energy security, and support affected countries and people on their path to sustained recovery, growth, and job creation through reforms.
About the International Energy Agency
The International Energy Agency, the global energy authority, was founded in 1974 to help its Member countries coordinate collective responses to major oil supply disruptions. Its mission has expanded and evolved since, and rests today on three main pillars: working to ensure global energy security; expanding energy cooperation and dialogue around the world; and supporting a secure, affordable and sustainable energy future. For more information, visit https://www.iea.org/.
About the International Monetary Fund
The IMF is a global organization that works to support economic growth and prosperity for all of its 191 member countries. It does so by supporting economic policies that promote financial stability and monetary cooperation, which are essential to increase productivity, job creation, and economic well-being. The IMF is governed by and accountable to its member countries. For more information, visit https://www.imf.org
About the World Bank Group
The World Bank Group works to create a world free of poverty on a livable planet through a combination of financing, knowledge, and expertise. It consists of the World Bank, including the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA); the International Finance Corporation (IFC); the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA); and the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). For more information, please visit www.worldbank.org, ida.worldbank.org/en/home, www.miga.org, www.ifc.org, and www.icsid.worldbank.org.
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