国际货币基金组织出台报告,肯定加拿大的COVID-19经济应对措施

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在世界各地，所有国家都必须携手共同努力，确保我们从这场疫情大流行之后的经济复苏进程惠及所有人。

在近日与国际货币基金组织IMF总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃（Kristalina Georgieva）的通话中，我们谈到了上述议题，以及IMF关于加拿大经济概况和应对COVID-19疫情之行动的报告。



新闻通稿

国际货币基金组织报告肯定加拿大的COVID-19经济应对措施

International Monetary Fund report validates Canada's economic response to COVID-19

源自：加拿大财政部

2021年3月18日- 安大略渥太华 - 加拿大财政部

3月18日，加拿大财政部欢迎国际货币基金组织（IMF）的《2021年第四条款磋商工作人员报告》，该报告是IMF完成对加拿大的第四条款磋商访问的总结。这一报告与IMF上月发布的初步调查结果一致，继续凸显了加拿大的“果断行动和空前的财政支持”，这样的措施有助于限制经济的损伤并保护就业，同时扶持加拿大民众和工商业度过疫情大流行。



该报告注意到：“加拿大一贯的审慎政策决断，为该国提供了政策空间从而以强有力的行动来应对这场危机，这有助于加国遏制疫情大流行对社会经济的冲击。” IMF估计，如果没有《加拿大的COVID-19经济应对措施》，“2020年的实际经济产出将进一步下降7.8个百分点，而失业率将进一步增高3.2个百分点。”国际货币基金组织目前预测，加拿大的实际GDP将在2021年增长4.4％，在2022年增长4.1％。

国际货币基金组织进行的分析表明，如果联邦政府没有采取果断和实质性的支持措施，加拿大将因为经济产出的减少，使得总债务相对于GDP的比值依然达到相似的水平，但就业和GDP的损失将会处于更大范围。



国际货币基金组织确认，加拿大的净债务仍然很低，并且“加拿大仍然没有实质性的财政脆弱问题，部分原因是加拿大在危机前的财务状况强劲，并且其资产状况可观。”

这一报告指出：“公共卫生政策和财务支出在遏制病毒传播的最初阶段起着重要作用……至关重要的是，公共卫生的对策一直以科学和专家建议为指导。” IMF建议：“在国民经济从危机模式过渡到复苏模式之时，至关重要的是要把COVID-19疫情的扩散控制住，并要避免过早撤回财政和货币支持。”





事实简要

国际货币基金组织一年一度的第四条款访问，对一个国家的经济和金融发展提供评估，并与政府官员、中央银行官员、议员以及企业、工会和民间社会的代表进行讨论。

加拿大在遭遇疫情大流行时处于强有力的地位，在同类的七国集团（G7）中具有最低的净债务与GDP的比率，至今依然保持这一地位。

从数据看一些有关COVID-19的扶持措施：

加拿大紧急救援补助金CERB：超过800万加拿大人获得扶持，直接支付816亿加元；

加拿大紧急工资补贴CEWS：至3月7日，补贴工资693.1亿加元，扶持433,950家雇主，并帮助保护超过520万个工作岗位；

加拿大紧急商业款项CEBA：至3月11日，向加拿大各地的企业提供846,350笔贷款，总额444.1亿加元；

加拿大紧急租金补贴CERS和封门扶持（Lockdown Support）：至3月7日，扶持138,550个组织，补贴总额19.7亿加元；

加拿大复苏补助CRB：至3月5日，向176万加拿大人提供补助120亿加元；

加拿大复苏看护补助：至3月5日，已向347,450名加拿大人提供补助16.5亿加元；和

加拿大复苏病假补助：至3月5日，已向420,680名加拿大人提供补助3.63亿加元。

相关链接

加拿大：2021年第四条款磋商工作人员报告
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2021/03/17/Canada-2021-Article-IV-Consultation-Press-Release-and-Staff-Report-50273

加国推出经济计划应对疫情，总理宣布对工作人士及商界提供进一步支持

联邦公布《支持加拿大人民,抗击COVID-19:2020秋季经济报告》

个人、家庭和工商业，疫情期间可获得哪些政府扶持？

新施政报告的四大基础，打造一个更强健、更有韧力的加拿大

COVID-19 经济应对计划：为企业搭建桥梁

COVID-19 经济应对计划：保护加拿大百姓和家庭

英文原文

International Monetary Fund report validates Canada's economic response to COVID-19

From: Department of Finance Canada

News release

March 18, 2021 - Ottawa, Ontario - Department of Finance Canada

Today, the Department of Finance Canada welcomed the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s Staff Report for the 2021 Article IV Consultation to conclude its annual Article IV mission to Canada. The report, which is consistent with the IMF’s preliminary findings released last month, continues to highlight Canada’s “decisive actions and unprecedented fiscal support,” which has helped to limit economic scarring and protect jobs while supporting Canadians and businesses through the pandemic.

The report observed that “Canada’s strong history of prudent policymaking afforded it the policy space to respond forcefully to the crisis, helping it to contain the socio-economic impact of the pandemic.” The IMF estimates that without Canada’s COVID-19 economic response, “real output would have declined by an additional 7.8 percentage points in 2020 and the unemployment rate would have been 3.2 percentage points higher.” The IMF currently projects Canada’s real GDP to expand by 4.4 per cent in 2021 and 4.1 per cent in 2022.

The IMF conducted analysis which shows that had the federal government not acted with its decisive and substantial support, Canada would have reached a similar level of gross debt-to-GDP ratio from reduced output, but there would have been a much broader loss of jobs and GDP.

The IMF acknowledged that Canada’s net debt remains low and that “Canada still does not have substantial fiscal vulnerabilities, partly due to its strong pre-crisis fiscal position and its sizable asset position.”

The report noted that “public health policies and spending were instrumental in containing the initial spread of the virus. . . Crucially, the public health response has been guided by science and expert advice.” The IMF advised that “As the economy transitions from crisis mode to recovery, it is vitally important to keep the spread of COVID-19 under control, and to avoid premature withdrawal of fiscal and monetary support.”

Quick facts

The IMF’s annual Article IV missions assess the economic and financial developments in a country and include discussions with government officials, central bank officials, parliamentarians and representatives of business, labour unions, and civil society.

Canada entered the pandemic in a position of strength, with the lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio among G7 peers, a position it still retains.

Select COVID-19 support measures by the numbers:

Canada Emergency Response Benefit: over 8 million Canadians supported through direct payments of $81.6 billion;

Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy: $69.31 billion in subsidies to support 433,950 employers and help protect over 5.2 million jobs as of March 7;

Canada Emergency Business Account: $44.41 billion for 846,350 loans to businesses across Canada as of March 11;

Canada Emergency Rent Subsidy and Lockdown Support: $1.97 billion in subsidies for 138,550 organizations as of March 7;

Canada Recovery Benefit: $12 billion provided to 1.76 million Canadians as of March 5;

Canada Recovery Caregiving Benefit: $1.65 billion provided to 347,450 Canadians as of March 5; and

Canada Recovery Sickness Benefit: $363 million provided to 420,680 Canadians as of March 5.

Associated links

Canada: Staff Report for the 2021 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund praises Canada's COVID-19 economic response plan

Canada: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2021 Article IV Mission

Canada’s COVID-19 Economic Response Plan

Fall Economic Statement 2020: Supporting Canadians and Fighting COVID-19

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作者：贾斯廷特鲁多JustinTrudeau